Stardate 20011214.1746 (On Screen): It seems likely that bin Laden is surrounded in Tora Bora. No-one can be sure, of course, but one reason to believe that is because the remaining al Qaeda are resisting more than they ever did before, as if they were protecting something very valuable. If he is indeed in there, there's little chance of escape. So the question is whether he'll be captured alive. I honestly think he won't be, simply because no-one on either side wants that to happen. He surely doesn't want to be taken away in chains to stand trial. Equally, it's not clear we really want him either. The best chance is that he'll die in the bombing, or that he'll commit suicide (or be killed by a friendly) but if he actually is approached by our forces or by the Pashtun, I suspect he's going to catch a stray.
(discuss)
